Pest Risk Modelling and Mapping for Invasive Alien Species
Invasives Series

Over the past century, the number of species that have been transported to areas outside their native range has increased steadily. New pests and pathogens place biological pressure on valuable resident species, but strict bans may conflict with trading and travel needs. An overview of how the conflict can be managed using pest risk mapping and modelling, this book uses worked examples to explain modelling and help development of tool kits for assessment.

1. Introduction: The challenge of forecasting the future distribution and impact of invasive alien species

2. "Following" the transportation trail to anticipate human-mediated invasions in terrestrial ecosystems

3. Over the Horizon: simulation modeling of long-distance wind dispersal for invasion ecology

4. Using the Maxent program for species distribution modeling to assess pest risk

5. NAPPFAST: A tool for risk mapping of exotic plant pests

6. CLIMEX, a deductive species distribution model

7. Detecting and interpreting patterns in regional pest species assemblages using self organising maps and other clustering methods

8. A suite of simple models to support quantitative assessment of spread and impact in pest risk analysis - concepts and applications

9. Modeling the spread of non-native species

10. Predicting the economic impacts of invasive species

11. Spatial models to assess the potential impacts of invasive alien species on native species

12. Mapping endangered areas for pest risk analysis (or analyses)

13. A modified analytical hierarchy process to assess pest introduction and establishment in a geographic information system

14. Predictive pest risk mapping using a causal approach

15. Identifying and assessing critical uncertainty thresholds in pest risk models

16. Making invasion models useful for decision-makers: incorporating uncertainty, knowledge gaps, and risk preferences

17. Evaluating the validity and reliability of pest risk assessments