Safety and Reliability. Theory and Applications

Safety and Reliability ? Theory and Applications contains the contributions presented at the 27th European Safety and Reliability Conference (ESREL 2017, Portorož, Slovenia, June 18-22, 2017).
The book covers a wide range of topics, including:
? Accident and Incident modelling
? Economic Analysis in Risk Management
? Foundational Issues in Risk Assessment and Management
? Human Factors and Human Reliability
? Maintenance Modeling and Applications
? Mathematical Methods in Reliability and Safety
? Prognostics and System Health Management
? Resilience Engineering
? Risk Assessment
? Risk Management
? Simulation for Safety and Reliability Analysis
? Structural Reliability
? System Reliability, and
? Uncertainty Analysis.

Selected special sessions include contributions on: the Marie Sk?odowska-Curie innovative training network in structural safety; risk approaches in insurance and fi nance sectors; dynamic reliability and probabilistic safety assessment; Bayesian and statistical methods, reliability data and testing; oganizational factors and safety culture; software reliability and safety; probabilistic methods applied to power systems; socio-technical-economic systems; advanced safety assessment methodologies: extended Probabilistic Safety Assessment; reliability; availability; maintainability and safety in railways: theory & practice; big data risk analysis and management, and model-based reliability and safety engineering.

Safety and Reliability ? Theory and Applications will be of interest to professionals and academics working in a wide range of industrial and governmental sectors including: Aeronautics and Aerospace, Automotive Engineering, Civil Engineering, Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Energy Production and Distribution, Environmental Engineering, Information Technology and Telecommunications, Critical Infrastructures, Insurance and Finance, Manufacturing, Marine Industry, Mechanical Engineering, Natural Hazards, Nuclear Engineering, Offshore Oil and Gas, Security and Protection, Transportation, and Policy Making.

A probabilistic model for navigational accident scenarios in the Northern Baltic Sea
F. Goerlandt

Comparison of Dutch and Russian standards for calculating the risks of a vapour cloud explosion
A. Leksin, U. Barth, D. Adeulov & R. Mock

On the nature of serious incidents in air traffic
J. Skorupski

On design of stiffened 3D-multi-cell for enhancing the vehicle crashworthiness and occupant safety
M.S. Zahran, P. Xue, M.S. Esa, C.Y. Bai & G.L. Su

Training of the members of crisis management: The scenario of the forest fire
A. Oulehlova, P. Kincl & H. Malachova

Quantifying probabilities of exceeding the maximum Mach number in cruise flight using operational flight data
L. Drees, J. Siegel, P. Koppitz & F. Holzapfel

Analysis of the gas distribution system operator’s activities on declaring the state of emergency
H. Malachova & A. Oulehlova

Benchmark of the GETTHEM Vacuum Vessel Pressure Suppression System (VVPSS) model for a helium-cooled EU DEMO blanket
A. Froio, A. Bertinetti, L. Savoldi, R. Zanino, F. Cismondi & S. Ciattaglia

Analysis of a Loss-of-Flow Accident (LOFA) in a tokamak superconducting toroidal field coil
L. Savoldi, R. Bonifetto & R. Zanino

Four studies, two methods, one accident—another look at the reliability and validity of Accimap and STAMP for systemic accident analysis
A.P.G. Filho, G.T. Jun & P.E. Waterson

A survey on the cyber-security of distributed generation systems
D. Tellbach & Y.F. Li

Crisis interfaces investigation at process model of critical infrastructure subject
J.F. Urbanek, J. Barta & J.J. Urbanek

Systemic fault analysis to calculate the approximation of the top event (near miss evaluation system): NEMESYS
S.A. Filho & J. Dionizio

Road tunnel operator training on computer simulators
B. Luin & S. Petelin

Comparison of meso scale subsea gas release with multiphase Eulerian-Lagrangian CFD model
P. Skjetne, J.E. Olsen, E.J. Davies, F. Leirvik, D.F. Krause & G. Eidnes

Modelling human operations during a nuclear accident: The Fukushima Daiichi accident, in light of the MONACOS method
Q. Baudard & P. Le Bot

The proposal of evaluation criteria for recoverability of road transport
J. Mrazek, L. Duricova & M. Hromada

A multi-plant emergency response plan for tackling major fire accidents in chemical clusters
B. Hosseinnia, N. Khakzad & G. Reniers

Economic analysis in risk management

Economic design of CUSUM control charts under preventive maintenance and loss functions
R. Du & M. Huang

On the use of economic analyses when evaluating new technology in helicopter emergency medical services
L.I.K. Sorskar, E.B. Abrahamsen & H.B. Abrahamsen

Risk based spare part management for machines in decommissioning
L. Kotek, L. Jirka & Z. Tůma

Exact parametrization of ARMA models using the EM-algorithm
O. Nusbaumer

Effect of investments to security of gas supply: A probabilistic cost-benefit case study
V. Kopustinskas & P. Praks

Foundational issues in risk assessment and management

Utilizing HRA input in risk assessments—a new method for strengthening the risk characterization by highlighting the qualitative insights from the HRA
K. Bjornsen & T. Aven

Imperfect knowledge based prediction of disruption risk in large scale complex systems
L.A. Bukowski & J. Feliks

Design requirements driven approach to highly automated failure mode and effects analysis
J. Kalowski

Risk communication: The link between understanding and managing risk
I. Jakopanec, A. Hafver, S. Eldevik & F.B. Pedersen

A comparative analysis of risk and quality
J.E. Lynette

Risk-based versus control-based safety philosophy in the context of complex systems
A. Hafver, S. Eldevik, I. Jakopanec, O.V. Drugan, F.B. Pedersen, R. Flage & T. Aven

Human factors and human reliability

Assessment of management quality of occupational health and safety as a result of the multi-criteria task
Z. Korban & M. Rabasova

Assessment of the management quality of the occupational health and safety at the extraction department of the coal mine, current condition and forecasts—case study
Z. Korban & M. Rabasova

Interprofessional team training in hospital wards—a literature review
O.R. Aaberg & S. Wiig

Human factors influencing decision-making: Tendencies from first-line management decisions and implications to reduce major accidents
R. Moura, E. Patelli, J. Lewis, C. Morais & M. Beer

A study of determinants of perceived tunnel safety among Norwegian road users
N. Vatsvag & E. Olsen

The competency to lead others as a tool of crisis management in active and second career
K. Binkova & A. Brichova

Application of qualitative unsafe act analysis under simulated emergency
S.Y. Choi, W. Jung, Y. Kim, J. Park & S. Kim

SPAR-H method for human error assessment: A case study in control room of an alcohol plant
Z.S. Nezamodini, Z. Rezvani & Z. Mosavianasl

Dynamic communication of hazards to cyclist by merging risk assessment and risk exposure
E. Bressan, P.C. Cacciabue & G.L. Mauri

Obtaining empirical data from experimentations on railway operational simulator for human reliability modelling
S. Rangra, M. Sallak, W. Schon & F. Vanderhaegen

Human reliability analysis in the emergency evacuation from an aircraft
A. Bayma & M.R. Martins

Analysis of errors of commission for the low power and shutdown operation of APR1400 by using CESA and MDTA methods
J. Yang, J. Kim & N. Kim

An integration of human factors into quantitative risk analysis: A proof of principle
W.M.P. Steijn, J. Groeneweg, F.A. van der Beek, J. van Kampen & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

A development of a methodology to calculate human error probability of severe accident mitigating strategy using dynamic HRA method
S. Jang & M. Jae

Human factors in crisis governance: The L’Aquila case
C. Morsut & B.I. Kruke

Leadership @ sea: Essential non-technical skills
A.M. Wahl & T. Kongsvik

Quantification of human failure probabilities for radiotherapy: Relevance of THERP’s values
D. Pandya, L. Podofillini, F. Emert, A.J. Lomax, V.N. Dang & G. Sansavini

First results from an analysis of recent operational events involving errors of commissions
L. Podofillini & V.N. Dang

Maintenance modelling and applications

Water network condition assessment using analytic hierarchy process
K. Pietrucha-Urbanik, D. Vališ & Z. Vintr

Audit proposal for maintenance, reliability and warranty management process
C. Parra, V. Gonzalez-Prida, A. Crespo, J.F. Gomez, A. Guillen, P. Viveros & F. Kristjanpoller

Multidimensional analysis of failure consequences in the RCM approach: Contributions to the decision-making process
M.I.S. da Fonte, M.L. Agudelo, M.H. Alencar & A.T. de Almeida

A method for parallel relative system maintenance decision-making based on product health
W. Zhou, D. Zhou, L. Xue & W. Zhang

Imperfect preventive maintenance model study based on product degradation process considering cost and availability
J. Lu, X. Wang, L. Wang & T. Jiang

Optimization of maintenance policies for complex and highly reliable multi-unit systems
R. Briš & N.T.T. Tran

Temporal clustering of retroreflective marking
M. Redondin, N. Faul, L. Bouillaut & D. Daucher

Predictive maintenance of maritime systems: Models and challenges
T. Tinga, W.W. Tiddens, F. Amoiralis & M. Politis

Performance measures for a system subject to degradation and sudden shocks
N.C. Caballé & I.T. Castro

A conditional based maintenance model for long storage products with imperfect repair actions
Y. Yang, Z. Cheng & B. Guo

Research on measurement method of on-orbit maintenance time
L. Xue, D. Zhou, B. Qiu & W. Zhou

Safety electronic systems reliability monitoring program in nuclear power plant—reactor protection system follow up
S.D. Costa, L.T. Marcos, C.M.F. Lapa & J.B. Araújo

Performance-based maintenance on degraded control systems
H.D. Mo & G. Sansavini

Predicting mission success from operating conditions
C. Rijsdijk & T. Tinga

A Risk Based Maintenance (RBM) interval decision making model to support life extension of subsea oil and gas facilities
I. Animah & M. Shafiee

Throughput-centered physical assets priorization technique
O. Duran, A. Crespo, V. González-Prida & A. Guillén

Unreliability model for degradation effects of safety components addressing demand-included stress and maintenance effectiveness
P. Martorell, S. Martorell, I. Martón, S. Carlos & A.I. Sánchez

An overview of optimization criteria in the context of advanced surveillance requirements
S. Martorell, I. Martón, P. Martorell, A.I. Sánchez, S. Carlos & R. Mullor

A novel dynamic opportunistic maintenance modelling approach
A. Erguido, E. Castellano, A. Crespo Márquez & J.F. Gómez Fernández

RBIM in refineries, case study: Predicting H2 corrosion
N. Defteraio, I. Ziomas, C. Caroni, Z. Nivolianitou & O. Aneziris

Design of indicators of workshop utilization for a railway company of passengers transport
T. Grubessich, P. Viveros, R. Stegmaier & F. Kristjanpoller

The evaluation method of degradation degree of runway pavement surfaces constructed from cement concrete
M. Zieja, P. Barszcz, K. Blacha & M. Wesołowski

Enhancing maintenance scheduling and control process by using SMED and TRIZ theory
P. Viveros, C. Nikulin, F. Bustamante, R. Stegmaier, F. Kristjanpoller, T. Grubessich, A. Crespo, V. González-Prida & C. Parra

Optimisation of offshore wind farm maintenance strategy considering the variability of the efficiency of imperfect maintenance interventions
V. Klonari, T.P. Nguyen, P.E. Labeau & S. Verstraeten

Modelling Weibull lifetime law and inspection based maintenance policy for Safety Instrumented Systems
A. Barros, N. Lefebvre & M. Roussignol

An adaptive condition-based maintenance planning approach: An offshore wind turbine case study
B. Bettayeb, B. Castanier & W. Zhu

PFD average calculation through a MooN architecture system
J. Krini & J. Borcsok

Trapped with availability
H. Schabe

A fast algorithm finding minimal cut-sets in a network, for the purpose of computing an upper bound on its reliability
J. Malinowski

UML statechart fault tree generation by model checking
L.T. Herbert & Z.N.L. Hansen

Safety of maritime ferry related to its operation process
K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny

Integrated model of maritime ferry safety related to its operation process including operating environment threats
K. Kołowrocki, E. Kuligowska & J. Soszyńska-Budny

A perturbed Gamma process with non-Gaussian state-dependent errors
M. Giorgio, A. Mele & G. Pulcini

Costs model for two-dimensional lifetime warranty policies based on combined repairs
Y. Wang & Y. Sun

Combination of FMEA and stochastic DEA for risk analysis
V. Osadska, A. Bernatik & L. Pospišil

An overall approach to modelling operation threats and extreme weather hazards impact on critical infrastructure safety
K. Kołowrocki & J. Soszyńska-Budny

Reliability-exploitation analysis of electronic power systems used for airport security
M. Siergiejczyk, K. Krzykowska & A. Rosiński

Modeling dependencies in critical infrastructure networks
A. Blokus-Roszkowska & K. Kołowrocki

Non-parametric reliability assessment of composite items
D. Vališ, K. Hasilova, Z. Vintr & A. Krzyżak

On the application of analytic network process to security risk assessment of chemical facilities
N. Khakzad, G. Reniers & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

Design point simulation in the context of evaluation of probability bounds in geotechnics
S.H. Marques

Critical infrastructure integrated safety model related to climate-weather change process application to port oil piping transportation system operating at land Baltic seaside area
K. Kołowrocki, J. Soszyńska-Budny & M. Torbicki

Safety of maritime ferry operating at Baltic sea open waters related to climate-weather change process including extreme weather hazards
K. Kołowrocki, J. Soszyńska-Budny & M. Torbicki

The reliability analysis of on-board storage batteries during the operation of aircrafts
M. Zieja, M. Jasztal, S. Stępień & M. Ważny

Time series data mining for analysing the effects of wind speed on wind turbine reliability
M. Reder & J.J. Melero

Mathematical modelling of soot particles in oil
D. Vališ, K. Hasilova, Z. Vintr & L. Žak

Influence of disk common-cause failures on the data unavailability in cloud storage systems
C. Tanguy

Reliability demonstration tests: Decision rules and associated risks
P. Dersin & C. Maiorano

Risk-informed decision making under incomplete information: Portfolio decision analysis and credal networks
A. Mancuso, M. Compare, A. Salo & E. Zio

Safety modeling of port, shipping and ship traffic and port operation information critical infrastructure join network related to its operation process
S. Guze & K. Kołowrocki

Fault Tree Analysis: How accurate is it?
A. Segal & Y. Bot

Review of network-theoretic approaches to characterise interdependencies in critical infrastructures
C.A. Johnson, R. Flage & S.D. Guikema

Effects of correlation in the context of evaluation of probability bounds in geotechnics
S.H. Marques

Classification of failure modes by fitting and pattern recognition tools in the context of evaluation of probability bounds in geotechnics
S.H. Marques

Spatio-temporal modelling of degradation processes through stochastic Gamma and Gaussian processes
M. Oumouni, F. Schoefs & B. Castanier

Prognostics and system health management

Failure cause identification for residential fuel cell based on multi-sensor data
G. Kikuchi, K. Maruchi, M. Sato & M. Yabuki

Research on false alarm identification method considering BIT test threshold
Y. Zhao, J. Shi, W. Li & W. Cui

Computer vision for damage recognition and type identification: A deep learning based approach
C. Modarres, A. Coburger, N. Astorga, E. Lopez Droguett, M. Fuge & V. Meruane

The business case for condition-based maintenance: A hybrid (non-) financial approach
W.W. Tiddens, T. Tinga, A.J.J. Braaksma & O. Brouwer

A benchmarking study on online cross calibration techniques for redundant sensors
M.K. Khan & G. Heo

On-board electromechanical servomechanisms affected by progressive faults: Proposal of a smart GA model-based prognostic approach
P.C. Berri, M.D.L. Dalla Vedova & P. Maggiore

Software failure prognostics: Application of interval-valued probabilities to assessment of reliability under imperfect debugging
V.G. Krymsky

Research on the health prediction of system based on relevance vector machine and ant colony algorithm
X. Duan, J. Shi & Y. Zhao

A test point selection method based on recognition of typical topology structure of complex networks
W. Li, J. Shi, X. Duan & X. Guo

Research on bearing life evaluation method based on EMD
H. Zhang, J. Yao & Y. Zhu

Deterioration modelling on wind turbine pitch control system
J. Ma, M. Fouladirad & A. Grall

Prognostics and health management in railways
P. Dersin, A. Alessi, B. Lamoureux, M. Brahimi & O. Fink

A review of the role of prognostics in predicting the remaining useful life of assets
D.V. Roman, R.W. Dickie, D. Flynn & V. Robu

Model-based fault detection using analytical redundancy for automotive proton exchange membrane fuel cell
G. Jullian, S. Rosini, M. Gerard, C. Cadet, C. Berenguer & V. Heiries

Preliminary results of an assessment of the working environment of healthcare centres in Mexico
D. Velazquez-Martinez & J.R. Santos-Reyes

An unsupervised clustering method for assessing the degradation state of cutting tools used in the packaging industry
F. Cannarile, P. Baraldi, M. Compare, D. Borghi, L. Capelli, M. Cocconcelli, A. Lahrache & E. Zio

Assessment of reliability performance of fatigue crack detection by intelligent coating monitoring and PZT sensors
Y. Ran, J. He, B. Dong & T. Jiang

Resilience engineering

Hazard from increasing the risk of the numbers of earthquakes for the European economy growth in the next 50 years
K. Lewandowski

Resilience and safety in agile development (through SafeScrum)
T. Stalhane & S.O. Johnsen

Evaluation the resilience of critical infrastructure subsystems
D. Rehak, S. Slivkova & V. Brabcova

Indication of critical infrastructure resilience failure
D. Rehak, M. Hromada & J. Ristvej

Characterizing community resilience through mood novelty
A. Lopez Cuevas & J.E. Ramirez-Marquez

Learning from successes in nuclear operations—a guideline
A.B. Skjerve, K. Viitanen, C. Axelsson, R. Bisio, H. Koskinen & M. Liinasuo

A consensus-based AHP for improved assessment of resilience engineering in maintenance organizations
A. Azadeh, S.M. Asadzadeh & M. Tanhaeean

Exploring the dissimilarity of resilience engineering approach to EFQM approach to ensure safety in a hospital
S.M. Asadzadeh, M. Tanhaeean & N. Abdi

Embedding resilience assessment into risk management
R. Mock & Ch. Zipper

Security of electricity supply indicators in a resilience context
P. Gasser, P. Lustenberger, T. Sun, W. Kim, M. Spada, P. Burgherr, S. Hirschberg & B. Stojadinović

A data-driven graphical approach to quantify learning capability for systems resilience: A case study on the U.S. electric power grid
B. Cassottana, L.J. Shen & L.C. Tang

Incorporation of resilience assessment in critical infrastructure risk assessment frameworks
D. Lange, D. Honfi, M. Theocharidou, G. Giannopoulos, N.K. Reitan & K. Storesund

Evaluation of resilience assessment methodologies
B. Rod, C. Pursiainen, N. Reitan, K. Storesund, D. Lange & M.M. da Silva

Probabilistic metric of infrastructure resilience considering time-dependent and time-independent covariates
B. Rod, A. Barabadi, Y.Z. Ayele, D. Lange, D. Honfi & E.L. Droguett

Strengths and limitations of Bayesian learning models in agent-based models
A. Reilly, C. Zhai & S. Guikema

Analytical engineering process to identify, assess and improve technical resilience capabilities
I. Haring, J. Scheidereiter, S. Ebenhoch, D.J. Schott, L.M. Reindl, S. Kohler, J. Bordoy, C. Schindelhauer, H. Scheithauer & S. Kaufmann

A modelling framework for resilience management: Practical benefits in real air traffic management cases
I. Herrera, A. Vennesland, M. Branlat, M. Ragosta & A. Pasquini

Holistic approaches to infrastructure risk reduction: Effective investments through pluralism
R. Nateghi & A.C. Reilly

Use of safety-related indicators in resilience assessment of Smart Critical Infrastructures (SCIs)
A. Jovanovic, F. Quintero & A. Choudhary

Dealing with crises in critical infrastructures: Risk and resilience as complementary management approaches
I. Herrera, R. Woltjer, M. Branlat & B. Nevhage

Risk assessment

Forest fire risk analysis methods and simulation tools
C. Vivalda, V. Verda, A. Carpignano, C. Dell’Erba, D. Cagliero & E. Guelpa

Information and confidence levels in risk results- can both be obtained?
T. Rosqvist

Evaluation of the occurrence probability of a railway accident with parametric uncertainties and failure dependencies using binary decision diagram
S. Qiu, Y. Zheng, X.G. Ming, Y. Hou & M. Sallak

How to assess future security threats to critical infrastructure systems? Lessons learnt and best practices from a security risk assessment of the ERTMS in Norway
M. Maal, K. Brattekas, K.O. Nystuen & R. Windvik

Forest wildfire risk mapping and the influence of the weather and geo-morphological input data
C. Vivalda, M.A. Musci, N. Grasso, E. Guelpa, M. Piras & V. Verda

A preliminary hazards identification of the ship hybrid power system
T.L. Cardoso, A.M. Schleder & M.R. Martins

A conceptual framework for assessing the resilience of critical infrastructure
G. Cadete, M.M. da Silva & M. Theocharidou

Security vulnerability assessment of gas pipeline using Bayesian network
D. Fakhravar, V. Cozzani, N. Khakzad & G. Reniers

Risk, uncertainty, and “what if?”—a practical view on uncertainty and risk in the knowledge- and physical domain
S. Eldevik, A. Hafver, I. Jakopanec & F.B. Pedersen

Evaluation of the risk of runway overrun using flight data monitoring
M. Butter

Fire and explosion risk analysis at the machinery spaces of the offshore facilities
S. Kim, G. Kim & K.-I. Nam

Urban vulnerability to fires and the efficiency of hydrants. Improving resource positioning and institutional response
R. Mota, A.O. Tavares & P.P. Santos

Towards a better industrial risk analysis: A new approach that combines cyber security within safety
H. Abdo, M. Kaouk, J.-M. Flaus & F. Masse

Accident simulator for risk assessment of non-steady work of chemical plant
A. Nakai & K. Suzuki

Quantitative multiple-scenario vulnerability assessment applied to a civil airport infrastructure
D. Lichte & K.-D. Wolf

Risk scenarios, reliability challenges and safety concept approach for second life lithium-ion battery systems out of automotive technologies
S. Bracke, F. Reinecke & R. Goertz

An ontological interpretation of the hazard concept for safety-critical systems
J. Zhou, K. Hanninen, K. Lundqvist & L. Provenzano

Risk management of a liquefied natural gas process facility using bow tie and Bayesian networks
H. Zerrouki & H. Smadi

The analytical software support for evaluation to a security and safety situation in the soft targets
L. Duricova, M. Hromada & J. Mrazek

Evaluating technical specification for emergency diesel generator from the CDF point of view in a typical NPP
Sh. Kamyab, A. Pirouzmand, K. Karimi & F. Yousefpour

Quantitative performance assessment of physical security barriers for chemical facilities
G. Landucci, F. Argenti, V. Cozzani & G. Reniers

A semi-quantitative methodology to evaluate the main local territorial risks and their interactions
E. Pilone, M. Demichela & G. Camuncoli

Safety, maintenance and nanotechnologies: An introductory state of art about the risk assessment methodologies and the potentialities
L. Fedele & L. Monteleone

Holistic understanding and clarification of environmental safety barriers in the oil and gas industry
W. Roed & T. Bjerga

Assessment of safety margins in relation to Acceptable Daily Intake (ADI) and Maximum Residue Limits (MLR) with application to OPs in peaches
E. Domenech & S. Martorell

The analysis method of Initiating Events (IEs) for low power and shutdown level 1 PRA
M.R. Kim & J.G. Kim

Critical infrastructure exposure to severe solar storms. Case of Russia
O. Sokolova & V. Popov

Advanced methods for risk analysis with integrated perspective
M. Bucelli, E. Okstad, N. Paltrinieri & V. Cozzani

Towards an online risk model for DP operations: Decision-making and risk information
S. Hogenboom, J.E. Vinnem & I.B. Utne

Potential impacts of selected natural hazards and technical failures on the natural gas transmission network in Europe
P. Lustenberger, T. Sun, P. Gasser, W. Kim, M. Spada, P. Burgherr, S. Hirschberg & B. Stojadinović

Comparative risk assessment of hydrogen accidents in Europe
M. Spada, P.B. Rouelle, P. Burgherr & D. Giardini

Safety margins of exposition to organophosphorus chemicals in food
E. Domenech & S. Martorell

Technological readiness and effectiveness of “smart systems” for the control of major accident hazard
S.M. Ansaldi, P. Agnello & P.A. Bragatto

Probabilities in safety of machinery—a real risk reduction has to replace the prevention paradox which is focussing merely on hypothetical risk estimations
H. Modden

Failure event definitions & their effects on survival and risk analysis of wind turbines
N.Y. Yuruşen, M. Reder & J.J. Melero

Risk assessment for critical energy infrastructure considering criticality of its elements
I. Žutautaitė, L. Martišauskas, R. Krikštolaitis & J. Augutis

An approach to holistic safety and security risk assessment considering contradictory requirements under uncertainty
D. Lichte, S. Marchlewitz, K.-D. Wolf & N. Schluter

The Energy-related Severe Accident Database (ENSAD) for comparative risk assessment of accidents in the energy sector
P. Burgherr, M. Spada, A. Kalinina, S. Hirschberg, W. Kim, P. Gasser & P. Lustenberger

An action research approach to developing, implementing and evaluating methods for risk and vulnerability assessment
A. Cedergren & H. Hassel

Modelling hazardous event scenarios for decision support
S. Lee, Y. Liu & N. Paltrinieri

Integrated Level 1–Level 2 decommissioning probabilistic safety assessment methodology for boiling water reactors
D. Mercurio, V.M. Andersen & K.C. Wagner

Assessment of soft error effect on satellites
H. Zhao, J. Zheng & Y. Zheng

The status of risk assessments in Norwegian fish farming
I.M. Holmen, I.B. Utne, S. Haugen & I. Ratvik

A method for combined risk and continuity management in a municipal context
H. Hassel & A. Cedergren

Operational risk assessment in road passenger transport companies performing at Polish market
A. Tubis & S. Werbińska-Wojciechowska

The comparison security coefficient between university and shopping center
L. Duricova, M. Hromada & J. Mrazek

The role of subsea activities in the framework of the new EU Directive 30/2013 on oil and gas safety for offshore installations
J.U. Okoroma, A. Carpignano, R. Gerboni & F. Ganci

Application of Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) for inspection of complex production facilities
E. Bergland, A. Barabadi & Y.Z. Ayele

An analytic hierarchy process approach for the security assessment of high speed railway construction sites
R. Setola, M. De Maggio, G. Natale, M. Tesei & E. Zio

A compendium of risk assessment studies by US nuclear regulatory commission office of nuclear regulatory research
J. Wood, D. Helton, A. Kuritzky, J. Lane, C. Leggett, M. Li, G. Wang, J. Schroeder, V. Agarwal & N. Lybeck

Risk assessment of quality management system failure via Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and the effects on organizational sustainability
J.C. Pereira, F.F. Leite, C.N. Garcia & G.M. de O. Jesus

Railway global system for mobile communication, safety of the possible enhanced services
M. Pawlik

Interval-valued importance measures for business continuity management
Z. Zeng & E. Zio

Approaching tunnel safety from a system safety perspective
I. Time & O. Nja

The risk and value nexus in security risk management
S.H. Jore

Failure mode and effect analysis of large space environment simulator
Z. Xu, J. Wang, J. Chen, Y. Jiang & Z. Wang

Identifying commonalities between individual El Nino events
R. Staupe-Delgado & M.H. Glantz

Fire water: Management system in Czech Republic
K. Sikorova & A. Bernatik

Reliability of fixed and mobile systems for artificial avalanche detachment
P. Castellano, G. Gorrino & P.A. Bragatto

Risk management

Management of technical and organizational changes
M. Gerbec

Management of multidimensional risk in pipelines: Contributions of information visualisation to support a decision-making process
C.P. Medeiros, M.H. Alencar & A.T. de Almeida

Uncertainty sensitivity analysis prior to making a final recommendation to the decision maker in a multidimensional risk of gas pipelines
C.P. Medeiros, M.H. Alencar & A.T. de Almeida

Rail infrastructure as a part of critical infrastructure
O. Becherova & Š. Hoškova-Mayerova

The safety of major hazard sites—evaluation of third party risk
E.B. Abrahamsen & W. Roed

Evaluating an indicator matrix for early detection of smuggling equipment for dual-use
P. Gustafson

Integrated methodology for decision making: Study of the main routes carrying dangerous cargoes in the Valparaiso region
M. Lopez-Campos, C. Nikulin, R. Gonzalez-Ramirez & L. Ascencio

Risk methods for the assessment of security of large structures: The case of an international airport
P.C. Cacciabue, I. Oddone & I. Rizzolo

The Agile Hazard Log approach
T. Myklebust, R. Bains, G.K. Hanssen & T. Stalhane

Auditing operational readiness of management of change
D. Levovnik & M. Gerbec

Railway accidents in the Czech Republic, causes of risks and their mitigation
T. Kertis, D. Prochazkova & J. Prochazka

Patient handoff quality and safety in China: Health care providers’ views
X. Gu, H. Liu & K. Itoh

Development of a safety enhancement program for long term operation at NPP Gösgen (CH) under deterministic and probabilistic aspects
R. Kaulbarsch, D. Kancev & J.-U. Klugel

How to develop fit for purpose scenarios for crisis management exercises
H. Fridheim, T. Grunnan & S. Malerud

Ensuring the security of selected soft targets
P. Beňova, M. Vaškova & J. Navratil

Managing competence for lifting risk
Y. Li & F.W. Guldenmund

The security of air transport infrastructure
M. Vaškova, J. Johanidesova & T. Zeman

Intermunicipal risk management: Addressing territorial and local expectations
A.O. Tavares, P.P. Santos, J. Lopes & J. Brito

Physical safety barriers behaviour based on RAM analysis using DEMATEL method
J. Sobral & C. Guedes Soares

Validation and sensitivity analysis of the dispersion model “SLAB” in case of LNG release
O.N. Aneziris

What similarities can municipalities experience in crisis management?
A.S. Nilsen

New directions in safety & environmental management and policy: A brief update on petroleum industry
D. Botheju & K. Abeysinghe

Risk-based optimization of operational procedures
G. Baldissone, M. Demichela, M. Gerbec & M.C. Leva

An empirical case design and stress test addressing hidden, dynamic and emergent vulnerabilities of society
E. Okstad, T.O. Grotan & N. Paltrinieri

A roadmap to a safer railway: How the IT security threat will influence the way we handle railway operations in the future
P.-C. Huang & B. Milius

Improving safety of crane-related operations in chemical industry by the support of a real-time computer-aided visual guidance system
G. Ancione, I. Kavasidis & M.F. Milazzo

A quantitative indicator-based model to support risk-based supervision in the Norwegian maritime authority
A.L. Aalberg, E.H. Blix, N.J. Edwin, R.J. Bye & V. Berntsen

Control of systemic failure through design criteria, RISKDyn
S.A. Filho & D. Menezes

De-codifying the requirements of Directive 2013/30/EU on safety of offshore oil and gas operations; risk management and reports on major hazards
M. Konstandinidou, S. Contini & S. Wald

Organizational risk indicators for dynamic positioning operations—learnings from 20 years of FPSO—shuttle tanker incidents and accidents
S. Hogenboom, J.E. Vinnem & I.B. Utne

Do non-governmental organizations relate to risks and uncertainties in an extreme manner?
L. Fjaran & T. Aven

Effectiveness of a technologically advanced evacuation model in case of LNG spillage from LNG carrier
G. Stanković, S. Petelin, P. Vidmar & M. Perkovič

Safety, security and cybersecurity in railway operation
M. Pawlik

A systems thinking approach to safety in Norwegian avalanche rescue operations
A. Lunde & O. Nja

User needs for resilience indicators in interconnected critical infrastructures
S. Antonsen, L. Bodsberg & J. Kringen

Inversive distance as a measure of collision risk
M.B. Mendel & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

Risk register and risk intelligence: The challenge of operational risks in the energy sector
M.C. Leva, B. McAleer, M. Rocke & D. Brogan

Simulation for safety and reliability analysis

The applications of DOE and computer simulation technology to the improving process reliability of turbine blades of aircraft engines
Z. Hao & M. Huang

An experiment using immersive virtual reality and a haptic interface to study human behaviour in evacuation
G. Montecchiari, P. Gallina & G. Bulian

A comparison of two simulators to support safety analysis in autonomous vehicles
C.B.S.T. Molina, R.I.R. Gonzalez, J.B. Camargo Jr., J.R. Almeida Jr., L.F. Vismari, J.K. Naufal Jr., R. Inam & C.R.B. Azevedo

Training of the critical infrastructure employees
M. Vaškova & J. Barta

Karhunen-Loeve expansion for extreme values of a homogeneous copula-based Gamma field
A. Adegbola & X.-X. Yuan

Identification and mitigation of critical states in power systems by limit state surface reconstruction
A. David & G. Sansavini

The selection of generic data for a reliability study in the design of an offshore system
E.N. Lima & M.R. Martins

Development-based reliability modelling and analysis with Petri nets considering interactions
F. Muller, J. Grober, T. Rieker, P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche

Component availability analysis considering time-dependency of parameters influencing transition rates
M. Naseri

Probabilities in safety of machinery—risk reduction through fixed and moveable guards by standardized impact tests, part 2: Possible improvements with FE impact simulations
L. Landi, E. Uhlmann, F. Meister, F. Pera & H. Modden

State-based safety and availability analysis of automated driving functions using Monte Carlo simulation
J. Heinrich, F. Plinke & J. Hauschild

Simulation driven optimisation of testing conditions of dental implants
M. Hinz, A. Muller, B. Backes & S. Bracke

How to assess the reliability in case of a scalable random environment
P. Lakomicki, B. Castanier & A. Grall

Research of reliable life assessment for cemented carbide cutting tool
L. Qi, Z. Li & L. Li

Evaluation of different hypothetical accident scenarios for improving people evacuation in the Gran Sasso National Laboratory
A. Basti, D. Franciotti, G. Bucciarelli & G. Panella

The algorithm construction for randomness with censored data in simulation studies in reliability
D. Gaspar, J.L. Silva & L.A. Ferreira

Evaluation of operation strategy to enhance the safety using high pressure emergency makeup system during SBLOCA
S.H. Kang, H.G. Kim & H.G. Kang

Structural reliability

Risk based reliability required in construction
M. Holicky

Quantitative assessment of crack size based on Lamb wave method
Y. Chen, Y. Yang, J. Yang & J. He

Reliability index after proof load testing: Viaduct De Beek
E.O.L. Lantsoght, C. van der Veen, D.A. Hordijk & A. de Boer

An approach to determine component reliabilities of pile-guided floater based on economic evaluation
S.-Y. Lee, D. Chang & C. Jo

Damage based reliability prediction of dynamically loaded components
M. Franko, B. Panič & M. Nagode

Reliability analysis of space mechanism considering performance degradation and dynamic time-variant characteristics
H.W. Liu, Y.Q. Liu, C.L. Tan, Y.J. Liu, J.G. Zhang & L.C. Yang

Reliability analysis of polymer bonder explosive based on aleatory and epistemic uncertainty
Z.P. Shen, X.Q. Chen & X.E. Liu

Reliability analysis of composite structures considering the statistical correlation between ply mechanical properties
S. Zhang, D. Xu, L. Zhang, Y. Jiang, X. Chen & J. Yu

Research on vibration characteristics of cantilevered composite laminates with delamination damage
Z. Fan, Y. Jiang, S. Zhang & X. Chen

Assessment of safety of large size ring girders in bucket wheel excavators—a case study
M. Sokolski & P. Sokolski

A study on the statistical properties of the fatigue damage of Gaussian random loadings
Y. Wang & H. Cheng

Evaluating properties of environmental contours
A.B. Huseby, E. Vanem & K. Eskeland

An equivalent method considering interaction on fatigue reliability analysis
W. Zhang, Y. Song & S. Jiang

Probabilistic reliability assessment of steel elements exposed to fatigue using Bayesian approach
M. Krejsa, J. Brozovsky & D. Mikolasek

Analyses of climate changes for evolution of Eurocodes
J. Markova

A method to assess the reliability of the aircraft airframe on the basis of operational data
M. Woch, M. Zieja & N. Grzesik

Contributions of structural health monitoring to the reliability of an offshore fixed platform
E. Etebu & M. Shafiee

The analysis of the fatigue crack growth rate in pipeline elements in two-dimensional depiction
M. Zieja, M. Jasztal, S. Stępień & M. Ważny

Probabilities in safety of machinery—risk reduction through fixed and moveable guards by standardized impact tests, part 1: Applications and consideration of random effects
L. Landi, H. Modden, F. Pera, E. Uhlmann & F. Meister

Fatigue lifetime estimation of machine component using accelerated testing
J.-P. Hietala, P. Ojala, P. Multanen, J. Miettinen & P. Saarenrinne

Assessment of structural damage to reinforced concrete structures with AE-based techniques
G. Augugliaro, C. Mennuti, F. Brini, P. Quaresima & P. Lenzuni

Reliability analysis of reinforced concrete beams strengthened with FRP using a combined method
A.D. Garcia-Soto, J.G. Valdes-Vazquez, A. Hernandez-Martinez & L.F. Gay-Alanis

System reliability

Tools for components reliability prediction
Z. Vintr & M. Vintr

Availability estimation of utility module in offshore plant depending on system configuration
Y. Seo, S. Han, K. Kang, H.-J. Noh, S. Park, J.-Y. Jung & D. Chang

Availability evaluation of a virtualized IP multimedia subsystem for 5G network architectures
M. Di Mauro, G. Galatro, M. Longo, F. Postiglione & M. Tambasco

Physics-of-failure-based method of reliability modeling for LED switch driver with failure correlation
L. Li, W. Zhang & B. Sun

Critical infrastructure and redundancy in Slovenian electric power system
M. Bugeza, D. Kopše, Z. Košnjek, I. Prezelj, F. Križanič & V. Kolšek

Reliability assessment of wireless sensor networks equipped with photovoltaic cells for the detection of changing environmental conditions
R. Kassan, E. Chatelet, B. El Hassan & J. Soukieh

Drinking water supply failure
J. Prochazka & D. Prochazkova

A new reliability analysis method for vehicle control systems with three-state electronic units based on goal oriented methodology
S.L. Liu, X.J. Yi, P. Hou, Y.H. Lai & J. Shi

A statistical control of direct-firing system using intrusive electrostatic sensors
B. Jurjevčič, A. Senegačnik & I. Kuštrin

Automated generation of a Petri net model: Application to an end of life manufacturing process
C. Latsou, S.J. Dunnett & L.M. Jackson

A new reliability prediction approach of mechanical system considering failure correlations
Z. Zhang, X.J. Yi, Y.H. Lai, P. Hou & B.S. Dhillon

Reliability analysis of aerodrome’s electronic security systems taking into account electromagnetic interferences
M. Siergiejczyk, J. Paś & E. Dudek

A new reliability assessment method for complex systems based on goal oriented methodology
X.J. Yi, Z. Zhang, P. Hou, H.N. Mu, J. Shi & B.S. Dhillon

System reliability of concrete structures subjected to chloride ingress
B.J. Leira & S. Thons

Revaluation proposal deployment of industrial equipment maintenance plans offshore: A case study of application of modes and effects analysis tool of failures—FMEA
C.R. de Almeida Dias, B. Vidal Silva & S.A. Filho

Modeling common-cause failures using stochastic hybrid systems
M. Fan, R. Kang, Y. Chen, Z. Zeng & E. Zio

Investigation of reliability in rotatives for acid systems in the dimensions of management, technology and human factors
B. Vidal, C. Dias, S.A. Filho & M. Lima

Induction of structure function of multi-state system based on uncertain data
E. Zaitseva, V. Levashenko & M. Kvassay

Application of Markov processes to the method for analysis of combat vehicle operation in the aspect of their availability and readiness
J. Żurek, J. Ziołkowski & A. Borucka

Research of automotive vehicles operation process using the Markov model
J. Żurek, M. Zieja, J. Ziołkowski & A. Borucka

Reliability assessment of a decay heat removal system in a SFR using reliability physics model
J. Kim, M. Jae & G.-C. Park

Extended reliability analysis of mechatronic systems based on information obtained by design of experiments
J. Grober, F. Muller, W. Gauchel, P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche

Numerically efficient reliability analysis of interdependent networks
J. Behrensdorf, M. Broggi, S. Brandt & M. Beer

A new design concept of Blowout Preventer for decision support
S. Lee, M.A. Lundteigen, N. Paltrinieri, Y. Liu, M. Rod & J. Dale

Survival signature approach for the reliability analysis of an axial compressor
S. Miro, M. Broggi, M. Beer, T. Willeke & J.R. Seume

Reliability research to design barriers of sociotechnical failure
S.A. Filho & C. Dias

A study on the reliability of oil and gas Blowout Preventer (BOP) technologies under deep-water erratic conditions
E.M. Enjema, M. Shafiee & A. Kolios

Failure mode and effect analysis for wind turbine systems in China
J. Zhu, K. Ma, M. Soltani & Z. Chen

Performance analysis of Co-based alloy coating by laser cladding
T. Wang, N. Wang, L. Wang, L. Qin, Y. Yao & Y. Li

A methodology of threat assessment for loss of large area due to aircraft crash onto NPP
S.C. Kim, J.S. Park, B.S. Kim, N.C. Cho, D.J. Jang, J.W. Bae, K.J. Kim, H.W. Kim & Y.H. Lee

Research on the reliability of the spraying process based on the design of experiment
W. Zhang, W. Wang, W. Feng & W. Zhou

Airborne miniature aircraft: Program, design and optimization
Z. Wang & M. Huang

Modelling the operation process of global Baltic network of critical infrastructure networks
P. Dziula & K. Kołowrocki

Codifying knowledge in the development of the discipline of security science: Knowledge to diagnose, infer and treat the security problem
D.J. Brooks & M. Coole

Surety engineering and its applications in high consequence systems
Y.M. Xiong, Y. Liu & Y.J. Zhang

General practitioners decision-making in questions of hospital admissions—a review of the literature
M.K. Glette

Maintenance 4.0. Review of maintenance role in the industry 4.0 revolution
A. Guillen, V. Gonzalez-Prida, J. Gomez, A. Crespo, G. Turconi & G. Ventola

State of strain of physical model road embankment stabilized retaining wall composed of gabion’s elements
A. Surowiecki & J. Ryczyński

The influence of fuel storage length on the wear intensity of selected components in internal combustion engines
J. Ryczyński & T. Smal

The new frontier of smart working: The importance of health and safety at work
F. Misale

Modelling manufacturing processes using Markov chains
J.M. Leigh, L. Jackson, S. Dunnett, H. Lugo, R. Sharpe, A. Neal & A. West

A preliminary analysis of impacts of vehicular ad hoc networks on traffic safety
T.A. Silva, J.B. Camargo Jr., J.K. Naufal Jr., L.F. Vismari, R. Inam & C.R.B. Azevedo

A creative root-cause analysis integrated with problem solving theory approach to better drive maintenance’s strategies
C. Nikulin, C. Acuna, M. Lopez-Campos, C. Fernandez & R. Madrid

Model based approach to identifying hazards for modern train control system
D. Zhou, A.G. Hessami & X. Yiao

Preliminary results on historical data on homelessness and post-earthquake disaster emergency shelter
G. Santos-Reyes, T. Gouzeva & J.R. Santos-Reyes

The selected aspects of the research into impact loading of adhesive joints in block samples—the influence of the sample geometry
A. Komorek, J. Godzimirski & A. Krzyżak

Developing a typology of crisis preparedness
R. Staupe-Delgado & B.I. Kruke

Aircraft system safety analysis based on failure propagation model
H.L. Wang, D.M. Zhong & T.D. Zhao

An inventory model for repairable spare parts with lateral transshipments
Y. Wang, S.S. Qing, H.L. Cheng, P.W. Hu & H. Wu

Uncertainty analysis

Addressing cost uncertainties when planning and implementing a monitoring programme for a carbon storage site
C. Vivalda & G. Boe

Walk-through metal detector assessment as a part of airport security management
J. Skorupski & P. Uchroński

Entropy estimation of a dynamical system via a contact interaction
V. Deeva & S. Slobodyan

An uncertain evaluating method for uncertain metrics in reliability
T. Zu, M. Wen, R. Kang & Q. Zhang

Uncertainty quantification of microwave resonator cavity for space borne hydrogen atomic clock
Y. Li, J. Hu & Y. Xie

Fuzzy semi-quantitative approach for probability evaluation using Bow-Tie analysis
H. Abdo, J.-M. Flaus & F. Masse

On the calculation and shaping of staircase random variables
L.G. Crespo, D.P. Giesy & S.P. Kenny

Random predictor models with a nonparametric staircase structure
D.P. Giesy, S.P. Kenny & L.G. Crespo

System reliability assessment based on QMU
T. Liang, Z. Peng, Z. Shen, Y. Xu & Y. Zhang

A comparison of performance between order statistics and metamodeling in safety margins uncertainty quantification
F. Sanchez-Saez, S. Carlos, J.F. Villanueva, S. Martorell & A.I. Sanchez

Tolerance limit in a more realistic best-estimate plus uncertainty analysis
M. Kloos

Comparison of uncertainty multilevel models to ensure ITS Services
M. Stawowy, K. Perlicki & M. Sumiła

Application and simulations of uncertainty multilevel models for estimating the number of motorway parking spaces
M. Stawowy, K. Perlicki & T. Mrozek

Uncertainty of the outflow hydrograph resulting from the break of a concrete dam
A. Kalinina, M. Spada & P. Burgherr

Estimation of system of availability using Markov modeling and random set theory
Y. Hou, M. Sallak & S. Qiu

A Marie Skłodowska-Curie innovative training network in structural safety

Reliability-based inspection planning in view of both crack initiation and propagation
G. Zou, K. Banisoleiman & A. Gonzalez

A fuzzy-based Bayesian belief network approach for railway bridge condition monitoring and fault detection
M. Vagnoli, R. Remenyte-Prescott & J. Andrews

UPC—BarcelonaTech experience on the use of Rayleigh based distributed optical fiber sensors for SHM of concrete structures
A. Barrias, J.R. Casas, G. Rodriguez & S. Villalba

Using truck sensors for road pavement performance investigation
F. Perrotta, T. Parry & L. Neves

Pavement condition measurement at high velocity using a TSD
A. Malekjafarian, D. Martinez & E.J. O’Brien

Parametric analysis of modelling properties governing the seismic response of free-standing spent fuel racks
A.G. Merino, L.C. de la Pena & A. Gonzalez

Structural probabilistic assessment of offshore wind turbine operation fatigue based on Kriging interpolation
R. Teixeira, A. O’Connor, M. Nogal, J. Nichols & M. Spring

Comparative study on Bayesian updating of bridge safety model
B. Heitner, T. Yalamas, R. Decatoire, E.J. O’Brien & F. Schoefs

Evaluation of the Hilbert Huang transformation of transient signals for bridge condition assessment
J.J. Moughty & J.R. Casas

Tracking deflection in the field using optical system: A case study
Y. Xu, F. Huseynov, J.M.W. Brownjohn, E.J. O’Brien & D. Hester

The effect of angles and distance on image-based, three-dimensional reconstructions
S. Chen, D.F. Laefer, J. Byrne & A.S. Natanzi

Post-installed screws for in-situ assessment of mortar strength
Md.S. Nur Alam Sourav, S. Al-Sabah & C. McNally

Field characterization of location-specific dynamic amplification factors towards fatigue calculations in ship unloaders
G. Milana, K. Banisoleiman & A. Gonzalez

Reliability assessment of braided BFRP reinforcement for concrete structures
S. Antonopoulou & C. McNally

Dynamic reliability and PSA

Updating PSA model using results of success criteria analysis
S.M. Hoseyni, K. Karimi & F. Yousefpour

Detection and classification of NPP accidents scenarios based on Residual Sign Matrices (RSMs)
M.K. Khan & G. Heo

Coupling of RAVEN and MAAP5 for the dynamic event tree analysis of nuclear power plants
C. Picoco, T. Aldemir, V. Rychkov, A. Alfonsi, D. Mandelli & C. Rabiti

Analysis of fault tolerant design methods for single event effects in field programmable gate array-based systems using the dynamic flowgraph methodology
P. McNelles, L. Lu, Z.C. Zeng & G. Renganathan

An overview of methods to analyze dynamic PRA data
D. Mandelli, D. Maljovec, C. Parisi, A. Alfonsi, C. Smith & C. Rabiti

A new method for evaluation of the qualitative importance measures
A. Volkanovski & V. Matuzas

The effect of outage schedule on core damage frequency of low power and shutdown PSA
J.G. Kim & M.R. Kim

An integrated framework for condition-informed probabilistic risk assessment
J. Xing, Z. Zeng & E. Zio

Systematic integration of hydrological hazards by automatically extending PSA models
N. Berner, M. Utschick, G. Ganssmantel & M. Rowekamp

Reliability modelling of PEM fuel cells with hybrid Petri nets
A. Vasilyev, J.D. Andrews, L.M. Jackson & S. Dunnett

Implementation of surrogate models within RAVEN to support SPRA uncertainty quantification
B. Cohn, R. Denning, T. Aldemir, J. Hur & H. Sezen

Dynamic human performance context comparison for severe accident management during long term station blackout in light water reactors
G.I. Petkov & I.G. Petkov

Discussion on reliability assurance program for safety related system in digital I&C system of NPP
C. Zhang, Y. Su & H. Lu

Comprehensive nuclear events database: Safety & cost perspectives
S. Wheatley, W. Kroger & D. Sornette

Bayesian and statistical methods

A comparison of safety and efficiency of protection systems in carotid artery stenting
M. Rabasova, Z. Korban & O. Pavlik

Bayesian network modelling for offshore installations: Gas turbine fuel gas release with potential fire and explosion consequences
S. Loughney, P.A. Davies & J. Wang

Combining time-dependent reliability and Bayesian networks for risk monitoring of subsea wells
L.F. Oliveira, J. Domingues, F.B. Pedersen & A. Hafver

A method for determination of combat vehicles availability by means of statistic and econometric analysis
J. Żurek, J. Ziołkowski & A. Borucka

Towards building a safety case for marine unmanned surface vehicles: A Bayesian perspective
M.P. Brito

Diagnosis architecture reconfiguration for a networked mobile robot
I. Sassi, A. Gouin & J.M. Thiriet

Reliability data and testing

Optimal design of step stress accelerated degradation test plan for solid-state lasers
X. Fu, J. Yang & S. Hao

Method for planning optimal degradation tests in consideration of budget and statistic accuracy applied on pitting tests on gear wheels
Z. Beslic, S. Yan & B. Bertsche

Research on establishment method of natural environmental spectrum and accelerated test environmental spectrum
Y. Shao, X. Wang, W. Xing, Z. Li & L. Sun

Modified generic failure rates for safety instrumented systems based on operational experience from the oil and gas industry
S. Habrekke, S. Hauge, A.S. Hoem, M.A. Lundteigen & L. Xie

Reliability and survival analysis of the fatigue behavior of short-fiber-reinforced polymer components
C.N. Chung & Z. Major

Maintenance data collection for subsea systems: A critical look at terms and information used for prediction of down time
J.T. Selvik & E.P. Ford

Research on the parameters relationship of reliability verification test
H. Cheng, J. Huang & D. Xu

Field data analysis of multi spindle lathes for a proven-in-use assessment
N. Nowizki, P. Zeiler, B. Bertsche & H. Modden

The reliability tests for biomedical devices: A review
J.P. Wu, X. Li & R. Kang

An imputation method for missing degradation data based on regression analysis and RBF neural network
F. Sun, N. Wang, Y. Fan & T. Jiang

Modelling of seep through of humidity to electric connector with stochastic processes
P. Ojala, J.-P. Hietala, J. Miettinen, P. Julkunen & I. Nieminen

Vehicle movement modelling possibilities for defense and crisis management
Š. Hoškova-Mayerova, M. Hubacek, M. Bures & S. Bekesiene

Organizational factors and safety culture

Securing employees against hazardous clients in challenging contexts
K.M.F. Lindland, H. Moberg & A.M.L. Hermansen

Health risk and risk of job insecurity during organisational change: The influence of learning demands and role ambiguity
M.T. Jensen & E. Olsen

Causes of accidents in civilian aircraft operation and tools for management of selected risks
D. Prochazkova & J. Prochazka

What causes ‘very serious’ maritime accidents?
B.M. Batalden & A.K. Sydnes

Coastal cargo work: How can safety shout instead of whisper when money talks?
K.V. Storkersen

Investigation on the impact of National regulations on the occupational safety
L. Comberti, G. Baldissone, M. Demichela, M. Patrucco & L. Maida

Trend analysis in time series of occupational health indicators in Spain from 1995 to 2015
V. Gallego, S. Martorell & A.I. Sanchez

How near miss management systems and system safety principles could contribute to support high reliability organizations
M.G. Gnoni & J.H. Saleh

Implementing risk based asset management
G. Kleijn van Willigen, J.F.W. Mohrmann, A.L.C. Roelen & H. van Meerveld

Digitalization of the rail network—challenging the traffic management
T.M. Stene, R. Wahl, R. Svarva & J.A. Langlo

“Unity of effort” in the new wars?
L.K. Stene

Licensee’s relationship with the suppliers—simple rules, lessons learned
M. Ylonen

Start-up processes in large construction projects—a requirement for a happy end?
T.M. Stene, A. Ekambaram, A. Johansen & M. Hermundsgard

Managing change of safety-critical infrastructure via STAMP
H.-P. Berg, S. Griebel & B. Milius

Violation enhancing conditions: A study of Norwegian car ferry workers’ compliance of safety-related procedures
A.L. Aalberg & R.J. Bye

Safety impacts of internationalisation in the Norwegian railway sector
R. Rosness, S.S. Kilskar, R.K. Tinmannsvik & K. Wasilkiewicz

Aviation in the context of globalization: Characteristics and potential safety challenges from the perspective of a full-service carrier
T.E. Evjemo & A.S. Hoem

Using ethnographic methodology in the study of complex sociotechnical systems
C.H.A. Kuran & O. Nja

Software reliability and safety

Model checking as a protective method against spurious actuation of industrial control systems
A. Pakonen & K. Bjorkman

Privacy scorecard—refined design and results of a trial on a mobility as a service example
A. Omerovic, M. Kjosnes Natvig & I.C.R. Tardy

Safety, security and resilience of critical software ecosystems
S.O. Johnsen & T. Stalhane

Lifetime estimation for IGBT modules in power converter under power fluctuation condition
C. Yu, F. Guicui, J. Maogong & Q. Yao

Effective load carrying capability of solar photovoltaic power plants—case study for Slovenia
B. Kirn, M. Čepin & M. Topič

Renewable energy supply risk analysis using stochastic network optimization
V. Winckler, E.D. Wollega & H. Baroud

A study on initiating event models induced by fire in a fire PRA
K.Y. Kim & D.I. Kang

An efficient framework for reliability assessment of power networks installing renewable generators and subject to parametric P-box uncertainty
R. Rocchetta & E. Patelli

The ‘discrete forecast error scenarios’ method for grid reliability assessment in short-term planning: Application to the Belgian grid
G. Dogan, P.-E. Labeau, J.-C. Maun, J. Sprooten, C. Bastiaensen & K. Sleurs

Time-dependent reliability assessment of a distributed generation system based on multi-valued decision diagrams and Markov processes
S. Du, R. Kang, Z. Zeng & E. Zio

Probabilistic power flow analysis of a power system containing FACTS devices
G. Bone & R. Mihalič

Probabilistic load flow in Slovenian power system
J. Bogovič & R. Mihalič

Socio-technical-economic systems

Investigating safety consciousness level of the university students
Y.-W. Seo, S.-I. Lee & K.-S. Son

Applying a systems safety approach to the development of GIS in the Norwegian emergency management domain
L.O. Grottenberg & O. Nja

Advanced safety assessment methodologies: Extended PSA

Areas of verification and improvement of SAM strategies with Level 2 PSA: Preliminary analysis for possible options for WWER-1000
P. Groudev, P. Petrova & E. Kichev

Hazards and hazard combinations to be considered in extended Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA)
K. Decker, H. Brinkman & E. Raimond

Man-made hazards modelling and implementation in extended PSA
S. Potempski & H. Brinkman

Methodology for selecting initiating events and hazards for consideration in an extended PSA
A. Prošek, A. Wielenberg, H. Loffler & E. Raimond

Objectives, challenges and development of multi-unit PSA—considerations from the ASAMPSA_E project
E. Raimond, M. Kumar, H. Loffler & A. Wielenberg

Implementation of external hazards in Level 1 and Level 2 PSA: Considerations from the ASAMPSA_E project
M. Kumar, J. Vitazkova, E. Cazzoli, H. Loffler & E. Raimond

Verification and improvement of SAM strategies with L2 PSA
N. Rahni, E. Raimond, H. Loffler & G. Hultqvist

Summary of End-Users views on extended PSA concept in the project ASAMPSA_E
Y. Guigueno, E. Raimond, M. Nitoi, P. Brac, D. Vasseur & G. Hultqvist

Reliability, availability, maintainability and safety in railways: Theory & practice

A survey of the software and safety case development practice in the railway signalling sector
T. Myklebust, G.K. Hanssen & N. Lyngby

SIL apportionment and SIL allocation
H. Schabe

Target reliability for railway civil engineering structures
M. Sykora, M. Holicky, K. Jung & D. Diamantidis

Application of the Weibull distribution for the optimization of maintenance policies of an electronic railway signaling system
E. Pascale, T. Freneaux, R. Sista, P. Sannino, P. Marmo & L. Bouillaut

IFF-MECA: Combined handling of interfaces, functions and components based failure analysis
Q. Mahboob, B. Altmann & S. Zenglein

Benefits of aviation specific risk for GNSS-based railway signalling
A. Filip

Fuzzy reasoning approach and fuzzy analytical hierarchy process for expert judgment capture and process in risk analysis
M. An & Y. Chen

Reliability assessment of CTCS-3 onboard system with a fuzzy fault tree
L. Jiang, X. Wang & Y. Liu

Human factors and their application in railways
B. Milius

Assessment model of operational effectiveness related to newly operated public means of transport
K. Andrzejczak, M. Młyńczak & J. Selech

Big data risk analysis and management

Commuting time variations and reliability of subway systems in case of disruptions. The case study of New York City
G.G. Svartzman & J.E. Ramirez-Marquez

Efficient computer use for automated safety text analysis
M. Newall & C. van Gulijk

Data-mining approach for validation of PSA models
G. Loskoutov, P. Hellstrom & C. Karlsson

Comparison of the estimation and prognosis of failure behaviour in product fleets based on the RAPP method versus state-of-the-art risk prognosis models within the usage phase
S. Sochacki & S. Bracke

Model-based reliability and safety engineering

Modelling the interaction in redundant production systems for analysing their productivity and availability with high-level Petri nets
F. Long, P. Zeiler & B. Bertsche

SpeCTRA—automated synchronization of component fault TRee and Model-Dased FME(D)A
M. Zeller & K. Hofig

A formal approach for automating compositional safety analysis using flow type annotations in component fault trees
F. Mohrle, K. Bizik, M. Zeller, K. Hofig, M. Rothfelder & P. Liggesmeyer

A reliability evaluation method based on Gamma process with ADT
X. Zhao, L. Wang, X. Wang, D. Lu & T. Jiang

A novel strategy for fault propagation study on complicated gear system based on network theory
Y. Li, Y. Chen & Y. Jin

An enhanced GO methodology with multiple signal transmission types based on Bayesian network
X. Ma, Z. Wang, D. Fan & Y. Ren

A sensor selection method for fault diagnostics
J. Reeves, R. Remenyte-Prescott & J. Andrews

Evolution of fault trees from hardware safety analysis to integrated analysis of software-intensive control systems
R. Adler, D. Schneider & K. Hofig

Trade-off analysis for different architectures of safety-critical systems
A. Berres

Concept of safety of complex technological facilities and tools for facility safety management
D. Prochazkova & J. Prochazka

A combined modeling and analysis method for probabilistic common cause failures in phased-mission system
H. Wu, J. Jiao & T. Zhao

Vulnerability assessment of chemical facilities under the impact of floods
N. Khakzad & P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder

Systematic design and validation of degradation cascades for safety-relevant systems
B. Kaiser, B.M. Nejad, D. Kusche & H. Schulte

Modelling the reliability of lead anodes in the electrowinning process of non-ferrous metals using machine learning
C. Rosebrock, M. Hinz, F. Reinecke & S. Bracke

Suitability of FRAM method for hazard analysis of ATM functional system of Slovenia control Ltd.
M. Pielick & M. Mraz

Improved system architecture and behavior based on FMEA recommendations
A. Baklouti, F. Mhenni, N. Nguyen, J.-Y. Choley & A. Mlika

Systems engineering to address learning of road tunnel fire safety
M. Svela & O. Nja

Prof. Dr. Marko Čepin received his B.Sc., M.Sc. and Ph.D. degrees from the University of Ljubljana, Slovenia, in 1992, 1995 and 1999, respectively. He was employed at Jožef Stefan Institute in the years from 1992 to 2009. He was invited to Polytechnic University of Valencia in the year 2001. He is a president of Nuclear Society of Slovenia (2010-2014, 2014-2018). He is a professor at the Faculty of Electrical Engineering, University of Ljubljana since 2009. His research interests include energy engineering, power plants and reliability of power systems.

Prof. Ing. Radim Briš, Ph.D. is research worker and university full professor in applied mathematics and technical cybernetics at the VŠB-Technical University of Ostrava, Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, Department of Applied Mathematics, senior researcher in applied statistics and operational research at the Centrum Excelence IT4Innovations, VŠB-Technical University of Ostrava, team leader for the Stochastic reliability modelling and risk management group. He currently works as Vice-President of European Safety and Reliability Association, and is member of ESRA Management Board. Previously he spent one year as invited research professor at the Université de Technologie de Troyes, Laboratoire de modélisation et de Sureté des Systemes, France. He also spent 5 years in the position of Vice-Dean of the Faculty of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, VŠB TU Ostrava.