Profiting from Monetary Policy, 2012
Investing Through the Business Cycle

The Financial Crisis has led to a decade of poor returns for pension schemes and lower retirement incomes. Credit-based investment strategies that track the business cycle, are allowing preservation of investors' capital. This book provides analysis and investment strategy plans to generate equity-like-returns with bond like volatility.

Introduction The Great Moderation and the Unravelling of a Great Myth From Model Failures to Streams of Data The Problem of Credit The Vienna and Stockholm Schools: A Dynamic Disequilibrium Approach The Neo-Wicksellian Framework Testing Wicksellianism The Creation and Destruction of Capital Where are the Customer's Yachts? Post Script - Constructing Business Cycle Tracking Funds Endnotes Bibliography

Thomas Aubrey is the founder of Credit Capital Advisory, a consultancy specialising in the relationship between credit markets and the wider economy. He has substantial experience running credit and economic analytics businesses and has served as the Managing Director of both Fitch Solutions, a provider of credit risk and quantitative analytical solutions and Datastream, which is widely used by investors and professional economists for asset allocation. These experiences have underlined the importance of analysing streams of data rather than over relying on analytical models, particularly given the dynamic and unpredictable nature of credit. Previously he worked as a management consultant turning around failing businesses in Asia, North America and Europe, affording him a unique perspective into the creation and destruction of capital. He holds a first-class degree from the London School of Economics and an MPhil from the University of Cambridge, where he mostly studied the history of political and economic thought before studying mathematical economics at Birkbeck College.